Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables service outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


(Adds expert, background, detail in paragraphs 2-3, 9-11)


By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the 3rd time this year due to falling prices and also lowered its expected sales volumes, sending out the company's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the price of routine diesel had actually affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has actually created a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to hamper the nascent industry.


Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, below $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had forecasted because the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now expected to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' prices have been adversely affected by a substantial reduction in (the) diesel cost during the 3rd quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not reduced and sustainable item market price premiums have actually remained weak," the company added.


Industry executives and experts have actually said quickly broadening Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable influence on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share rate had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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